Option 1: Conceding to Iran If Trump quickly reaches an agreement with Tehran to open the Strait of Hormuz and lower oil prices, he will be accused of “surrendering” within the US.
This would mean a complete failure of the maximum pressure policy.
Option 2: Escalating military tensions Any attempt to forcibly open the Strait of Hormuz or attack Iran’s main infrastructure could lead to a full-blown regional war.
This option would push oil prices above $150, bring global stock markets to the brink of collapse, and entangle the US in a quagmire much larger than Iraq and Afghanistan.
Option 3: Continuing the status quo If he does nothing and waits, high energy prices and the resulting inflation (gasoline at $6 in the US) will push the global economy into recession.
In this scenario, Iran will continue its unofficial exports, and Trump’s standing in domestic polls will fall even further.Get The Full Details. .
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